Central Bank of Peru: Future interest rate decisions will depend on inflation data and its determinants.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Haitong Securities: The moderate price reduction of traditional Chinese medicine varieties continues. The domestic pharmaceutical industry is expected to set off a wave of mergers and acquisitions. Haitong Securities released a research report saying that the moderate price reduction of traditional Chinese medicine varieties continues. In 2024, the traditional Chinese medicine industry was under pressure due to the pressure of pharmacy terminal sales and inventory pressure, and it is expected to return to a good situation in the next 25 years. In addition, the continuous technological changes in the pharmaceutical industry, the development of IPO to mergers and acquisitions and the promotion of corporate governance optimization at the shareholder level are the main reasons for promoting mergers and acquisitions in the industry. In terms of fields, mergers and acquisitions are expected to occur intensively in sub-sectors such as medical devices, Chinese medicine, medical services, blood products and scientific research services.
Foreign media: BRICS countries lead global economic growth in 2024. On the 13th, Reference News published a report on the website of Brazil's Tribune magazine that "BRICS countries lead GDP growth in 2024 and surpass rich countries". The summary of the report is as follows: In 2024, the BRICS countries are expected to lead the global economic growth, leaving the richest countries behind. It is estimated that India's economy is expected to grow by 7% this year, and China, the second largest economy in the world, is also expected to achieve the economic growth target of around 5%. For other members of the group, the growth figures are also positive, such as Russia (3.6%) and Brazil (3%). These growth rates exceed those of the United States (2.8%), South Korea (2.5%) and the European Union represented by Spain (2.9%).Chip-concentrated stocks clustered in four major industries, and 43 stocks fell for more than three consecutive periods. According to the statistics of Securities Times and DataBao, as of December 12, 300 stocks disclosed the number of shareholders in the latest period, compared with the previous period (November 30), there were 162 stocks with a decrease in the number of shareholders. Specifically, the number of shareholders in 29 stocks decreased by more than 5%, and the number of shareholders in 5 stocks decreased by more than 10%, including Dongfang Huanyu, Zhongshe, Baina Qiancheng, Midland New Materials and Hengshuai. Many chip-concentrated stocks have performed well in the recent market. According to the statistics of DataBao, the average share capital of 126 chips has increased by 4.86% since last month, and the cumulative increase of 18 stocks is above 10%. The top gainers are Guoan Da, Beiwei Technology and Silk Road Vision, which have increased by 42.5%, 26.18% and 21.44% respectively. From the industry point of view, the number of chip concentrated stocks is the largest in the four major industries of mechanical equipment, power equipment, electronics, medicine and biology.In violation of regulations, Sun Yongcheng, a member of the former party group of Heilongjiang Provincial Federation of Trade Unions, was expelled from the party. After investigation, Sun Yongcheng violated political discipline and confronted organizational review; Violation of organizational discipline, failure to truthfully explain problems when organizing letters and inquiries, and use their powers to seek personnel benefits for relatives and others; Violation of integrity discipline, illegal access to large returns through private lending, and use of authority to seek benefits for the business activities of relatives; Violation of work discipline, intervention in project contracting; Taking advantage of the convenience of his position and the formation of his authority or position, he seeks benefits for others in the aspects of engineering project license handling, mineral management right transfer, company preparation approval, etc., illegally accepting and demanding property, and is suspected of accepting bribes.
Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.IDC: In the third quarter, global intelligent sweeping robots shipped 5.014 million units, up 11.1% year-on-year. On December 13th, IDC reported that global intelligent sweeping robots shipped 5.014 million units, up 11.1% year-on-year. Among them, the domestic market was boosted by the trade-in of old models at the end of September, with 1.321 million units shipped, up by 17% year-on-year, and the efforts of most provinces were around 20%, which significantly stimulated the shipment of high-end models, and this trend also continued to this year's "Double Eleven". The proportion of overseas sales of China manufacturers continues to increase, and the competition of high-end all-around models in European and American markets is still fierce.The A-share financing balance hit a new high of more than 9 years, and the big consumption sector broke out. According to china securities journal, on December 12, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14